TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 26, 12:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of a specific candidate in a party primary election, focusing on whether they achieve various vote percentage thresholds. The outcome depends on the officially certified results of the election, reflecting the democratic process where voters select their preferred candidate within a party framework.
The event evaluates multiple sequential vote percentage thresholds for Cori Bush in the 2026 MO-01 Democratic primary, ranging from 37% to 55%. Each threshold represents an individual market that resolves to 'Yes' if the certified vote percentage falls within the specified range (e.g., 37% to 100% for the first threshold, 38% to 100% for the second, and so on). The percentage is calculated by dividing the total votes received by Cori Bush by the total valid votes cast, multiplied by 100 and rounded appropriately. Resolution relies exclusively on certified or official results; preliminary results, write-in votes (if certified), and excluded invalid or rejected ballots are considered. If the election is canceled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by the expiration date, all markets resolve to 'No'. Additionally, if a recount alters the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage determines the outcome. Multiple voting rounds, such as those in ranked-choice voting, use the specified round or default to the first round if unspecified.
This market resolves around Aug 4, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the vote count is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final percentage will be calculated from official election results, and the market will settle based on that verified data.