TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

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2,388,728,490

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$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner
polymarket

MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Volume:
$120,453

Matt Little

 - Polymarket

Matt Little - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 12, 2026

Closed: Aug 12, 1:30 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Matt Little

View
100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$77,991
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Matt Klein

View
0%
20%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$21,772
$29,692
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Kaela Berg

View
0%
1%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,769
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate B

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate D

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate F

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate H

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate J

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate L

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate N

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate A

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate C

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate E

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate G

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate I

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate K

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate M

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate O

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 19

Intro

This market tracks which candidate will secure the Democratic Party nomination to represent Minnesota's 2nd congressional district in the 2026 midterm elections. On Polymarket, Matt Little holds 77.5% probability of winning the nomination, with Matt Klein at 9.5%. Resolution will be determined by official Democratic Party sources, including democrats.org, based on the outcome of the Democratic primary scheduled for August 11, 2026. Watch the primary election results on August 11, 2026, which will determine the nominated candidate for the general election.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Frequently asked questions

The MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the Democratic primary race in Minnesota's 2nd congressional district. It displays the current probability of each candidate winning the nomination, historical price movements, and $5,432 in 24-hour trading volume. The dashboard aggregates all active outcome contracts for this race, allowing you to monitor how market sentiment shifts as new information emerges. Total liquidity across all outcomes stands at $120,453, reflecting sustained trader interest in this competitive primary.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional polling because traders incorporate real-time information, campaign momentum, and fundraising data that polls may lag. While polls capture voter sentiment at a single point in time, prediction markets continuously update as new developments occur. The current market leader reflects accumulated trader conviction based on available evidence. Comparing market odds to recent polls reveals whether traders are pricing in expectations beyond current survey data, offering insight into which candidate insiders and informed participants view as most likely to secure the Democratic nomination.

The MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner market resolves on Aug 11, 2026, following the Minnesota Democratic primary election. Resolution is determined by the official results of the primary vote, which will identify the candidate who wins the most votes and secures the Democratic nomination for Minnesota's 2nd congressional district. The market will settle based on verified election results reported by Minnesota state election authorities. This timing allows traders to position themselves ahead of the primary and provides clarity on the eventual Democratic nominee for this competitive House race.

Key catalysts for price movement include candidate endorsements from prominent Minnesota Democrats, campaign finance disclosures showing fundraising strength, debate performances, and local media coverage highlighting candidate viability. Unexpected candidate withdrawals or entries would significantly shift odds. National Democratic Party support or opposition to specific candidates could sway trader expectations. Polling releases, particularly those showing momentum shifts, often trigger market repricing. Local issues gaining prominence—such as healthcare, inflation, or district-specific concerns—may benefit candidates perceived as stronger on those topics. Scandals or gaffes involving frontrunners could rapidly reshape market probabilities as traders reassess nomination chances.