TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 03d:20h:25m
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This event tracks the average real-time electricity price at the MISO Indiana Hub over a specific week in 2026. The outcome depends on whether this average exceeds various price thresholds, reflecting potential stress or surplus conditions in the regional power grid during that period.
The event evaluates whether the simple average of all hourly real-time power prices at the MISO Indiana Hub for the week ending November 6, 2026, exceeds specified thresholds. The relevant period runs from October 30, 2026, at 5:00 PM EDT to November 6, 2026, at 5:00 PM EST, inclusive of the start and exclusive of the end. Data source is MISO’s final hourly real-time ex-post total Locational Marginal Prices (LMPs) from the rtlmpfinal report, with the Data Exchange endpoint used only if the primary report is discontinued. Intervals adhere to MISO’s operating-day and hour-ending conventions, using fixed Eastern Standard Time year-round. The average includes all applicable hourly prices, even negative ones, and is rounded to two decimal places with exact halves resolved away from zero; equality with any threshold resolves to 'No'. Trading closes on November 6, 2026, at 4:59 PM EST, counting the final delivery interval. Only the first published prices are used, with later corrections considered only if published before expiration and accepted as material error corrections by the Exchange. Unverified, estimated, indicative, and forecast prices are excluded. Missing data points are not filled; if at least 95% of required intervals are available, the average is calculated from available prices. If less than 95% of intervals are available, the outcome is resolved only if the available data conclusively determines the result; otherwise, the market settles at the Exchange-determined last fair price under full rules.