TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 19, 10:45 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the vote share Peggy Flanagan might achieve in the 2026 Minnesota Senate Democratic primary. It reflects how much support she garners among voters compared to all valid ballots cast. Outcomes depend on the officially certified results after any recounts or adjustments.
All markets resolve based on the certified percentage of votes Peggy Flanagan receives in the 2026 Minnesota Senate Democratic primary, calculated as (her votes ÷ total valid votes) × 100. Each market has a specific threshold (39% to 100%, 42% to 100%, etc.), and resolves to Yes only if her certified vote share falls within that range. Resolution relies exclusively on official, certified results—preliminary counts, write-in votes (if certified), and adjustments from recounts are considered, but invalid/spoiled ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If the election is canceled, postponed past the market expiration, or no certified results exist by then, all markets resolve to No. For elections with multiple rounds (e.g., ranked-choice voting), percentages are based on the specified round or the first round if unspecified. The most recent certified percentage before expiration determines the outcome.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the odds for this market directly through buying and selling contracts, with the current implied probability reflecting the collective view of all participants. The price adjusts continuously based on order flow, volume of $32,281, and any new information about the candidates or campaign dynamics.
This market resolves around Aug 11, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the vote count is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final percentage of votes Peggy Flanagan receives will be compared against the market's settled value, determining whether contracts for that outcome are paid out.