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Minnesota Senate Democratic primary margin of victory?
kalshi

Minnesota Senate Democratic primary margin of victory?

Volume:
$13,048

Peggy Flanagan, 18-21%

 - Kalshi

Peggy Flanagan, 18-21% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 19, 2026

Closed: Aug 19, 10:43 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Peggy Flanagan, 18-21%

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,378
N/A
N/A
$1,377
10mo 2w 1d
Yes
kalshi

Peggy Flanagan, 6-9%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,314
N/A
N/A
$3,164
10mo 2w 1d
No
kalshi

Angie Craig, 6-9%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,280
N/A
N/A
$1,402
10mo 2w 1d
No
kalshi

Peggy Flanagan, 9-12%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,740
N/A
N/A
$1,685
10mo 2w 1d
No
kalshi

Angie Craig, 0-3%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$955
N/A
N/A
$661
10mo 2w 1d
No
kalshi

Peggy Flanagan, 0-3%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$861
N/A
N/A
$668
10mo 2w 1d
No
kalshi

Peggy Flanagan, 12-15%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$582
N/A
N/A
$582
10mo 2w 1d
No
kalshi

Peggy Flanagan, 3-6%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$573
N/A
N/A
$380
10mo 2w 1d
No
kalshi

Peggy Flanagan, 15-18%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$545
N/A
N/A
$545
10mo 2w 1d
No
kalshi

Angie Craig, 3-6%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$427
N/A
N/A
$304
10mo 2w 1d
No
kalshi

Angie Craig, 9-12%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$155
N/A
N/A
$155
10mo 2w 1d
No
kalshi

Angie Craig, 12-15%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$145
N/A
N/A
$145
10mo 2w 1d
No
kalshi

Peggy Flanagan, 21-24%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$31
N/A
N/A
$31
10mo 2w 1d
No
kalshi

Peggy Flanagan, ≥24%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$31
N/A
N/A
$31
10mo 2w 1d
No
kalshi

Angie Craig, ≥15%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$31
N/A
N/A
$31
10mo 2w 1d
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This event tracks the competitive dynamics between candidates in the 2026 Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by measuring how much one candidate outperforms another in vote share. The outcome depends on the precise difference in their vote percentages, divided into specific ranges.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner based on the margin of victory for either Peggy Flanagan or Angie Craig in the 2026 Minnesota Senate Democratic primary. The margin of victory is calculated as the difference in vote share between the candidate and the runner-up if the candidate wins, or between the candidate and the actual winner if the candidate loses. A tie for first place results in a zero margin. Each market corresponds to a specific percentage range for the margin of victory, which is inclusive of the lower bound and exclusive of the upper bound, with no rounding applied. If a candidate’s votes are split across multiple party listings, all votes for that candidate are summed. The ranges for Peggy Flanagan are 0-3%, 3-6%, 6-9%, 9-12%, 12-15%, 15-18%, 18-21%, 21-24%, and 24%-100%. For Angie Craig, the ranges are 0-3%, 3-6%, 6-9%, 9-12%, 12-15%, and 15%-100%. The market resolves to Yes if the actual margin falls within the specified range for the respective candidate.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard tracks real-time odds and price history for the Minnesota Senate primary margin market, alongside 24-hour volume of $0. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the potential margin of victory for the Democratic candidate, reflecting shifts in market sentiment as the primary approaches.

This market resolves around Aug 11, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the official election results are verified against credible public sources. The final margin of victory will be calculated from certified vote tallies, and this market will settle based on where that margin falls within the defined ranges.