TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
At least 39%
- Kalshi
At least 39% - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 26, 2026
Latest in Elections
Closed: Aug 19, 10:44 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This market tracks Angie Craig's performance in the 2026 Minnesota Senate Democratic primary, focusing on whether she achieves specific vote percentage thresholds. The outcome depends on her share of the total valid votes cast in the election.
Kalshi
All markets resolve based on the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Angie Craig in the 2026 Minnesota Senate Democratic primary. The percentage is calculated as the total votes she receives divided by the total valid votes cast, multiplied by 100 and rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution relies solely on official, certified results; preliminary results, write-in votes (if certified), and invalid or rejected ballots are accounted for as specified. If the election is canceled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by the expiration date, all markets resolve to No. Recounts that alter the certified percentage before expiration will use the most recent certified figure. Multiple voting rounds, such as ranked-choice voting, will use the specified round or the first round if unspecified. Each market has a distinct threshold range (e.g., 39% to 100%, 42% to 100%, etc.), and the market resolves to Yes only if Craig's certified vote percentage falls within that specific range.
Frequently asked questions
On Kalshi, this market currently reflects trader expectations for the Angie Craig vote share. While polling averages offer another view of likely outcomes, prediction markets often price in real-time sentiment and betting patterns that can diverge from traditional surveys. Traders may react more quickly to emerging news or shifts in campaign dynamics, which can cause this market to move ahead of or differently from public polling data. The difference between the two can highlight where market participants place their confidence versus voter surveys.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the odds for the Angie Craig vote share through continuous trading. The current implied probability reflects the collective assessment of all participants, adjusting minute by minute based on new information, campaign developments, and broader political trends. Volume of $62,174 and recent 24-hour volume of $0 show how actively this market is being traded. The price you see at any moment represents the best available forecast from market participants on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Aug 11, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the official election results are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final vote percentage will be compared against market contracts to determine winners, based solely on authoritative news sources and certified tallies.
Between now and Aug 11, 2027, several key events could shift this market. Debate performances, endorsements, major news stories about candidates, and shifts in voter sentiment tracked by polls can all influence trader expectations. Fundraising announcements, controversies, or changes in campaign strategy may also cause rapid movements. As the election approaches, updated polling data and insider reports will likely drive most of the volatility, with traders adjusting their positions based on the latest information about voter preferences and campaign momentum.
