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Minnesota Republican gubernatorial primary: Mike Lindell vote percent
kalshi

Minnesota Republican gubernatorial primary: Mike Lindell vote percent

Volume:
$41,755

At least 29%

 - Kalshi

At least 29% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 19, 2026

Closed: Aug 19, 10:42 AM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

At least 29%

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,925
N/A
N/A
$4,046
10mo 2w 1d
Yes
kalshi

At least 32%

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,000
N/A
N/A
$2,501
10mo 2w 1d
Yes
kalshi

At least 50%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,469
N/A
N/A
$2,867
10mo 2w 1d
No
kalshi

At least 35%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,222
N/A
N/A
$3,435
10mo 2w 1d
No
kalshi

At least 44%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,970
N/A
N/A
$3,340
10mo 2w 1d
No
kalshi

At least 38%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,603
N/A
N/A
$2,760
10mo 2w 1d
No
kalshi

At least 47%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,562
N/A
N/A
$1,866
10mo 2w 1d
No
kalshi

At least 41%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,004
N/A
N/A
$1,591
10mo 2w 1d
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This event tracks Mike Lindell's performance in the 2026 Minnesota Republican gubernatorial primary, focusing on whether he achieves specific vote percentage thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the officially certified election results, reflecting his share of the valid votes among Republican candidates.

Kalshi

The event determines if Mike Lindell achieves specified vote percentage thresholds in the 2026 Minnesota Republican gubernatorial primary. Each market corresponds to a different minimum percentage (29%, 32%, 35%, 38%, 41%, 44%, 47%, or 50%), resolving to Yes if his certified vote share meets or exceeds that threshold. Vote percentages are calculated from total valid votes cast, excluding invalid or rejected ballots, and include write-in votes if certified. Resolution relies exclusively on official, certified results; preliminary figures, cancellations, postponements beyond the market expiration, or unavailable results lead to a No outcome. If a recount alters the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified figure applies. Multi-round voting scenarios default to the first round unless otherwise specified.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Minnesota GOP governor race dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume for this market. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing Mike Lindell’s potential vote share percentage among Republican primary voters in Minnesota. The dashboard updates continuously throughout the campaign period, reflecting shifts in market sentiment and trading activity. With a total volume of $41,755 and 24-hour volume of $967, it provides a snapshot of market dynamics as the primary approaches.

This market resolves around Aug 11, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the election results are verifiable from credible public reporting. Official vote tallies will determine whether Mike Lindell reaches the required percentage, and the market will settle based on those final, publicly recorded figures. No internal platform mechanisms or subjective judgments influence the result.

Events that could shift this market include major news coverage about Mike Lindell, changes in polling trends, candidate debates, fundraising announcements, and endorsements from influential figures. Each of these can alter perceptions of his electoral prospects, prompting traders to adjust their bets and move the implied probability. Surprise developments—especially those affecting voter sentiment—tend to have the most impact on price action.