TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 19, 10:38 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the potential dominance of a specific candidate in an upcoming state party primary election. It focuses on how decisively a candidate might perform relative to all votes cast within that party's primary contest. The outcome depends entirely on official, final vote tallies after all certifications and possible recounts are completed.
Multiple thresholds define potential market resolution, each requiring Amy Klobuchar to achieve a specific vote share percentage in the 2026 Minnesota Democratic gubernatorial primary. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' her certified vote percentage must fall within the inclusive range stated in that market's primary rule (e.g., 65%–100%, 70%–100%, etc.). All markets share identical secondary rules: percentages are calculated from total valid votes cast, excluding invalid or rejected ballots; write-in votes count if certified; results are based solely on official certifications, with the most recent certified percentage used if a recount occurs before market expiration. If the election is canceled, postponed beyond the market's expiration date, or no certified results exist by that deadline, all markets resolve to 'No.' The resolution hinges entirely on final, certified vote counts, not preliminary or unofficial tallies.
This market resolves around Aug 11, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the vote count is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final percentage of votes Amy Klobuchar receives will be compared against the market’s settled outcome, closing all positions based on official results.