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2,388,728,490

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Miller Lite Point of Sale Growth in August
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What is the Miller Lite Point of Sale Growth in August?

Volume:
$14,497

Above -17%

 - Kalshi

Above -17% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 3, 2026

Closed: Sep 3, 11:12 AM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
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Above -17%

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,048
N/A
N/A
$3,088
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above -21%

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,554
N/A
N/A
$2,804
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above -25%

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$150
N/A
N/A
$150
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above -13%

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,278
N/A
N/A
$692
Settled
No
kalshi

Above -9%

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$467
N/A
N/A
$436
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks the performance of Miller Lite beer sales in August 2026 compared to the same month in the previous year. The outcome depends on whether the sales growth, measured by a specific index, stays above certain negative percentage thresholds. The data comes from a panel that collects point-of-sale information from various retail channels.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on the Carbon Arc Miller Lite Point of Sale Growth index for August 2026, comparing sales to August of the prior year. The index, where 100 indicates equal year-over-year sales, uses a panel that captures in-store and online purchases through receipt scanning and rewards apps, updated daily. Each market has a different threshold, ranging from -25% to -9%, and resolves to 'Yes' if the first reported index value for August 2026 is above its respective threshold. Any corrections or revisions after settlement do not affect the outcome. Kalshi is unrelated to the underlying company, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Miller Lite sales growth market tracks real-time odds, price movements, and 24-hour volume of $0. It provides a visual representation of how traders on Kalshi are positioning themselves ahead of the August sales results. The page updates continuously to reflect shifts in market sentiment and provides historical context for price trends. With total volume at $14,497, the dashboard is your go-to for monitoring activity and volatility in this market.

Currently, prediction market odds imply a different outlook than many analyst forecasts for this market. While analysts may lean toward stable or modest growth, traders are pricing in a range of possible outcomes that could be more aggressive or conservative. This divergence creates an interesting opportunity to compare crowd-sourced expectations against institutional research. Monitoring both sources side by side can help identify potential shifts in market sentiment as new sales data or industry reports emerge.

This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will hinge on official sales figures released by the company or a recognized industry source. Traders should watch for announcements in early September, as these reports typically set the benchmark for calculating the exact growth percentage that settles this market.

Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including early retail performance reports, industry-wide sales trends, and any public statements from the brand or its competitors. Economic factors such as consumer spending patterns or changes in advertising campaigns may also influence trader sentiment. Additionally, unexpected events like supply chain updates or promotional activity could cause rapid price adjustments as participants reassess their expectations ahead of the final data release.