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MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?
polymarket

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?

Volume:
$407,170,412

June 30, 2026

 - Polymarket

June 30, 2026 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 4, 2026

Closed: Jul 1, 12:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

June 30, 2026

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,418,661
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

December 31, 2026

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,252,109
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
Yes
polymarket

May 31, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0.1¢
N/A
$375,813,105
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

December 31, 2025

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,976,158
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

March 31, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,710,380
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
No
Total markets: 5

Intro

This market on Polymarket tracks whether MicroStrategy will sell any portion of its Bitcoin holdings by the end of 2025. The leading outcome, that the company sells Bitcoin by December 31, 2025, currently stands at 40.0%, while the alternative outcome that it sells by June 30, 2026, is at 100.0%. Resolution will be determined using official MSTR disclosures and on-chain data, supplemented by credible reporting consensus. Watch for any Bitcoin sales announcements or transfers from MicroStrategy's known wallet addresses before the December 31, 2025 deadline.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for whether MicroStrategy will sell any Bitcoin holdings by the resolution date on Polymarket. It displays the current probability of the top outcome, 24-hour volume of $165,043,274, and cumulative group volume of $400,473,541 across all related outcomes. Price history charts show how trader conviction has shifted over time, helping you monitor whether market participants expect a sale to occur within the specified timeframe.

Prediction market odds reflect trader expectations about MicroStrategy's corporate actions, which differ from Bitcoin spot price movements. While Bitcoin price volatility may influence MicroStrategy's balance sheet and treasury decisions, the market odds isolate the probability of an actual sale event. Comparing these odds to analyst forecasts and MicroStrategy's public statements on treasury policy provides context for whether traders expect the company to liquidate holdings or maintain its accumulation strategy.

The market resolves on Jan 1, 2027. Resolution hinges on whether MicroStrategy has publicly announced or executed any sale of Bitcoin from its corporate treasury by that date. This includes partial or full liquidations, but excludes transfers, pledges, or non-sale transactions. Official company filings, press releases, and SEC disclosures serve as the primary sources for determining whether the outcome criteria have been met.

Key catalysts include MicroStrategy earnings calls and treasury announcements, changes in Bitcoin price affecting the company's balance sheet strategy, shifts in corporate leadership or board composition, macroeconomic conditions influencing capital allocation priorities, and regulatory developments affecting crypto holdings. Additionally, competitor actions, credit facility covenants, or strategic M&A activity could prompt management to reassess Bitcoin holdings. Market sentiment around institutional adoption and Bitcoin's role in corporate treasuries also influences trader positioning.