TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on September 14?
polymarket
opinion

Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on September 14?

Volume:
$1,276

Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on September 14?

 - Polymarket

Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on September 14? - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 14, 2026

Closed: Sep 14, 4:16 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on September 14?

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,276
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

440

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

450

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

460

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

470

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

480

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

490

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

500

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

510

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

520

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

530

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

540

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

550

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

560

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 14

Description

This group asks whether Microsoft's stock price will be higher or lower on September 14, 2026, compared to the price on the preceding trading day. It's a straightforward directional prediction about the stock's performance on a specific date.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms rely on the same core logic of comparing the closing price on September 14th to the prior day's closing price, utilizing Pyth data as the primary source.Primary resolution logic: Pyth (https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is determined by comparing the closing price of MSFT on September 14, 2026, to the closing price on the most recent prior trading day.
  • Pyth's 'Close' value for the final minute of regular trading hours will be used; fallback mechanisms exist to utilize the last valid Pyth price or the primary exchange's official closing price if Pyth data is unavailable.
  • An equal closing price will result in a 50-50 resolution.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • No Trading on 9/14: If MSFT does not trade at all during the regular session on September 14, 2026, the market will resolve 50-50.
  • Pyth Data Failure: If Pyth data is unavailable, the last valid Pyth price during regular trading hours or the primary exchange's official closing price will be used.
  • Stock Split/Reverse Split: In the event of a stock split or reverse split, resolution will be based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
Timing: Resolution will occur after the close of regular trading hours on September 14, 2026, once the closing price data is confirmed from Pyth or the primary exchange.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on September 14, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on September 14, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or Microsoft (MSFT) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Microsoft (MSFT), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Microsoft (MSFT) trades governs.