TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Financials
Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on June 8?
polymarket

Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on June 8?

Volume:
$639

$410

 - Polymarket

$410 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 8, 2026

Closed: Jun 8, 4:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$410

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$75
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$450

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$392
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$440

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$143
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$420

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$430

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on June 8 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."

Frequently asked questions

The PredictionHero dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on June 8 event on Polymarket. You can monitor the current implied probability of the outcome, historical price movements, and 24-hour trading volume of $565. The dashboard updates continuously as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the collective market view of whether MSFT will close above the specified price level on the resolution date. Use these metrics to gauge market sentiment and identify trading opportunities before Jun 8, 2026.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this MSFT event is priced as a binary outcome contract where traders buy and sell shares representing yes or no positions. The current market price reflects the probability that Microsoft will close above the specified price level on June 8. Prices range from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%), with higher prices indicating stronger market confidence in an above-target close. Liquidity and order-book depth determine how easily traders can enter or exit positions at any given price level.

The market resolves on Jun 8, 2026, after the close of regular trading on June 8. The outcome is determined by Microsoft's official closing price on that date relative to the specified price threshold. Once the market resolves, winning positions are credited and losing positions expire worthless. Traders should monitor MSFT price action throughout the day and be aware of any corporate announcements, earnings surprises, or macroeconomic events that could drive the stock toward or away from the target level.

Key catalysts for MSFT price movement include earnings announcements, cloud or AI product launches, regulatory developments, and broader tech sector sentiment. Macroeconomic data—inflation reports, interest rate signals, or recession fears—can shift the entire sector. Competitive announcements from rivals like Amazon or Google may also influence investor confidence in Microsoft's growth trajectory. Geopolitical events, cybersecurity incidents, or changes to enterprise spending patterns could trigger volatility. Monitor financial news, earnings calendars, and MSFT's technical levels to anticipate potential moves before June 8.