TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Microsoft (MSFT) above … on August 31?
opinion

Microsoft (MSFT) above … on August 31?

Volume:
$0

480

 - Opinion

480 - Opinion

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 1, 2026

Closed: Aug 31, 11:08 PM EST

opinion

Opinion

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
opinion

480

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

490

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

500

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

510

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

520

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or Microsoft (MSFT) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Microsoft (MSFT), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Microsoft (MSFT) trades governs.

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or Microsoft (MSFT) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Microsoft (MSFT), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Microsoft (MSFT) trades governs.

Frequently asked questions

On Opinion, the dashboard for the Microsoft August performance market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $0. It shows how traders on Opinion are pricing the likelihood of Microsoft closing above a specific level by the end of August. The interface updates continuously, reflecting the latest bets and market sentiment without any cross-platform aggregation.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds offer a real-time, crowd-sourced view of expectations for Microsoft’s performance in August. While analysts may publish target prices or probability assessments based on models and reports, this market incorporates the collective judgment of active traders. Differences between the two can highlight where public sentiment diverges from institutional outlooks.

On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Opinion, traders actively buy and sell contracts representing Microsoft’s August outcome, driving the current implied probability. The price reflects recent trading activity, order flow, and market depth specific to Opinion. Traders assess news, earnings reports, and macroeconomic indicators when placing bets, which directly influences the market’s direction.

This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will depend on Microsoft’s official closing price on the last trading day of August, as reported by authoritative financial sources. Traders should monitor market updates closely as the resolution date approaches.

Key signals that could shift this market include Microsoft’s upcoming earnings release, broader tech-sector performance, major economic data affecting tech stocks, and any corporate announcements such as product launches or partnerships. Geopolitical developments or market-wide volatility may also influence trader sentiment. Keep an eye on news feeds and trading volume spikes for early indicators of market movement.