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Micron (MU) Up or Down on September 28?
polymarket

Micron (MU) Up or Down on September 28?

Volume:
$4,523

Micron (MU) Up or Down on September 28?

 - Polymarket

Micron (MU) Up or Down on September 28? - Polymarket

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Resolved Sep 28, 2026

Closed: Sep 28, 4:18 PM EST

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Micron (MU) Up or Down on September 28?

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0%
73%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,523
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) on September 28, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) on September 28, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MU%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MU%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) on September 28, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) on September 28, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MU%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MU%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Micron stock market tracks the current odds of the stock price increasing or decreasing by September 28. You’ll find a price history showing how the probabilities have shifted over time, reflecting trader sentiment. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour volume, indicating how much trading activity this market has seen recently. Currently, the volume is $4,508 and the total volume is $4,508. This provides a real-time view of where traders stand on the future direction of Micron’s stock.

Currently, prediction market participants are expressing a strong belief in a positive outcome for Micron. However, it’s important to remember that analyst forecasts can vary widely. Some analysts may predict growth based on technological advancements, while others might anticipate challenges due to market competition or economic conditions. This market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, offering a different perspective than individual analyst opinions. Comparing this market’s probabilities to those provided by financial analysts can reveal potential discrepancies and offer a more nuanced understanding of the potential stock movement.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Micron’s stock will be up or down on September 28. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares indicating an expected price increase, the price of those shares rises, and the implied probability of an upward movement increases. Conversely, increased selling pressure on the 'up' shares lowers their price and the associated probability.

This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether the closing price of Micron (MU) stock on September 28 is higher or lower than its price at the market’s opening. This determination will be made by referencing established financial data sources to ensure an accurate and transparent outcome. Traders will then receive payouts based on the final result and their positions in this market.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before Sep 28, 2026. Major announcements from Micron regarding earnings, new product launches, or changes in leadership could all trigger price movements. Broader economic indicators, such as inflation reports or interest rate decisions, could also impact the stock’s performance. Unexpected news related to the semiconductor industry, including supply chain disruptions or shifts in demand, could also play a role. Any significant developments affecting the overall market sentiment or Micron’s competitive position could lead to shifts in the probabilities reflected in this market.