This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) on September 21, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) on September 21, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MU%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MU%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Polymarket

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Micron stock market tracks the current odds of the stock closing higher or lower by September 21. You’ll find a price history showing how the probabilities have shifted over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $1,627. Total volume for this market is $1,612. The dashboard provides a real-time view of where traders are placing their bets on Micron’s future performance, offering insight into market sentiment.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than many traditional analyst forecasts for Micron. While some analysts predict a moderate increase in Micron’s stock price, this market shows a more nuanced view. It’s important to remember that analyst forecasts are based on models and reports, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are putting their capital at risk. Discrepancies can arise due to differing assumptions about future economic conditions and company-specific factors.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether Micron’s stock will be up or down on September 21. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a ‘yes’ share (stock up) or ‘no’ share (stock down) indicates the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and sentiment.

This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Micron stock on September 21 will determine whether the ‘up’ or ‘down’ outcome is declared. If the closing price is higher than the opening price on that day, the ‘up’ outcome will win. Conversely, if it's lower, the ‘down’ outcome will prevail. The resolution will be based on publicly available financial data.

Several factors could significantly move this market before Sep 21, 2026. Major announcements from Micron regarding earnings, new product launches, or changes in executive leadership would likely have a substantial impact. Broader economic news, such as inflation reports or interest rate decisions by the Federal Reserve, could also influence the stock price. Additionally, any significant shifts in the semiconductor industry landscape, including competitor performance or supply chain disruptions, could affect trader sentiment and, consequently, the odds in this market.

Micron (MU) Up or Down on September 21?

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