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Micron (MU) Up or Down on June 1?
polymarket

Micron (MU) Up or Down on June 1?

Volume:
$437

Micron (MU) Up or Down on June 1?

 - Polymarket

Micron (MU) Up or Down on June 1? - Polymarket

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Resolved Jun 1, 2026

Closed: Jun 1, 4:00 PM EST

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Micron (MU) Up or Down on June 1?

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100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$437
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) on June 1, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) on June 1, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MU%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MU%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the Micron (MU) Up or Down on June 1 event on Polymarket. It displays the current probability that Micron's stock price will close higher on June 1 compared to its opening level that day. The dashboard updates continuously to reflect new trades, showing you the latest implied odds, historical price movements, and 24-hour trading volume. This single-venue view lets you monitor how market participants are pricing Micron's daily performance as the resolution date approaches.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money consensus from traders betting on Micron's stock direction, while analyst forecasts typically focus on longer-term price targets and fundamental outlooks. Analysts may publish earnings estimates, semiconductor cycle views, or competitive positioning, whereas prediction markets distill near-term directional sentiment into a single probability. Comparing the two reveals whether traders are more or less bullish than the analyst consensus, offering a complementary perspective on market expectations for Micron's June 1 close.

On Polymarket, this event is priced as a binary outcome contract where traders buy and sell shares representing either an up or down close for Micron on June 1. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome share reflects the market's collective probability estimate, with shares summing to $1 at resolution. Traders profit by buying undervalued outcomes or selling overvalued ones as new information arrives. The current odds and volume on Polymarket show real-time conviction and liquidity for each side of the Micron directional bet.

Several catalysts could shift Micron's odds before June 1. Earnings announcements, guidance revisions, or semiconductor industry news could drive sentiment. Macroeconomic data—inflation reports, interest rate decisions, or tech sector rotation—may influence chip stocks broadly. Geopolitical developments affecting supply chains or trade policy could impact Micron's near-term outlook. Competitor announcements or memory-chip pricing trends may also move the market. Additionally, broader market volatility, analyst upgrades or downgrades, and short-term technical levels could all influence trader positioning and the final odds on Polymarket.