TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Politics
Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner
polymarket

Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner

Volume:
$295,059

John James

 - Polymarket

John James - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 5, 2026

Closed: Aug 5, 1:32 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

John James

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$168,156
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Mike Cox

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$10,154
$8,447
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Aric Nesbitt

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$6,835
$3,664
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Tom Leonard

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$6,911
$2,891
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Evan Space

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$7,531
$2,860
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ralph Rebandt

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$7,385
$2,832
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

William Null

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$7,271
$2,631
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Karla Wagner

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$7,120
$2,498
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Perry Johnson

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$96,157
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Anthony Hudson

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,751
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Joyce Gipson

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,171
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate D

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate F

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate H

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate J

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate L

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate N

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate P

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate R

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate T

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate V

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate X

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate Z

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate E

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 35

Intro

This market tracks which candidate will win the Republican primary election for Michigan governor. On Polymarket, Perry Johnson holds the leading position at 52.0%, while John James follows at 38.5%. The market will resolve based on the official results announced by the Michigan Republican Party, with resolution occurring after the primary election scheduled for August 4, 2026. Watch for candidate announcements and campaign momentum shifts as the August 4, 2026 primary date approaches.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Frequently asked questions

The Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and price movements for the 2026 Republican primary race. You can monitor the current implied probability for each candidate, view 24-hour volume of $59,912 to gauge market activity and liquidity, and observe historical price trends. The dashboard displays total group volume of $295,059, reflecting cumulative trader interest in this event. These metrics help you understand market sentiment, identify shifting expectations, and time your trades based on recent momentum and depth of participation.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional polling because traders incorporate real-time information, campaign developments, and fundraising data that polls may lag. While polls measure voter preference at a snapshot in time, prediction markets reflect the collective financial commitment of participants betting on the actual outcome. For the Michigan Republican primary, market prices may lead or trail polling depending on recent news, endorsements, or candidate momentum shifts. Comparing both sources provides a fuller picture: polls show current voter sentiment, while markets reveal informed traders' conviction about the final result.

The Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner market resolves on Aug 4, 2026, following the official Republican primary election date in Michigan. Resolution is determined by the official primary results announced by Michigan election authorities. Traders holding shares in the winning candidate's outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. The market remains open for trading until the resolution date, allowing participants to adjust positions as new information emerges and the primary approaches. Early trading reflects expectations; final trading reflects near-certain outcomes as election day nears.

Key catalysts for Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner include candidate announcements, major endorsements from state or national Republican figures, debate performances, and fundraising reports that signal viability. Campaign spending, media coverage, and grassroots organization efforts in Michigan will shape trader expectations. National political developments, shifts in the broader Republican landscape, and any candidate withdrawals or consolidations could trigger sharp repricing. Polling releases specific to Michigan will provide data points traders use to adjust odds. Primary results from early states like Iowa and New Hampshire often influence downstream races, potentially shifting Michigan market prices as frontrunners emerge or falter.