TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Michigan gas prices tomorrow
kalshi

Michigan gas prices tomorrow

Volume:
$102,954

Above 4.4250

 - Kalshi

Above 4.4250 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 22, 2026

Closed: Oct 21, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 4.4250

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$22,130
N/A
N/A
$22,130
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.4450

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16,370
N/A
N/A
$11,689
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.4700

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,752
N/A
N/A
$3,039
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.4400

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,301
N/A
N/A
$3,001
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.4750

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,964
N/A
N/A
$2,963
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.4150

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,181
N/A
N/A
$4,181
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.4200

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,058
N/A
N/A
$4,050
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.4350

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,778
N/A
N/A
$3,252
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.4050

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,363
N/A
N/A
$3,313
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.5000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,333
N/A
N/A
$3,333
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.5100

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,333
N/A
N/A
$3,333
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.4000

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,313
N/A
N/A
$3,272
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.4300

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,065
N/A
N/A
$3,015
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.4100

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,523
N/A
N/A
$2,513
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.5250

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,391
N/A
N/A
$2,389
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.4900

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,200
N/A
N/A
$1,200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.4600

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,132
N/A
N/A
$2,082
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.4850

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,916
N/A
N/A
$1,425
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.5150

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,491
N/A
N/A
$1,491
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.3950

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,200
N/A
N/A
$1,200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.4800

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,200
N/A
N/A
$1,200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.4650

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$782
N/A
N/A
$732
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.5600

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$683
N/A
N/A
$683
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.5450

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$681
N/A
N/A
$681
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.5500

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$681
N/A
N/A
$681
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 37

Description

This event tracks the expected fluctuations in Michigan's regular gas prices on a specific future date. It reflects how analysts and the public anticipate changes in fuel costs based on economic indicators, supply chain dynamics, and seasonal demand patterns. The outcome depends on whether the state's average price meets or exceeds certain thresholds as reported by a trusted data source.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple threshold conditions for Michigan's average regular gas price on October 22, 2026, using data from AAA. Each market corresponds to a distinct price threshold, and the resolution hinges on whether the actual average price strictly exceeds the specified value for that market. All markets share the same verification source and date, ensuring consistency across thresholds. The structure allows participants to assess varying levels of price increases, with higher thresholds representing more aggressive forecasts. No additional secondary rules modify the primary conditions; resolution is purely a function of the reported price relative to each threshold.