TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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61%

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MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner
polymarket

MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Volume:
$155,928

William Lawrence

 - Polymarket

William Lawrence - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 5, 2026

Closed: Aug 5, 3:56 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

William Lawrence

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$84,681
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Bridget Brink

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,840
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Matt Maasdam

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,562
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Alexandra Prieditis

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,264
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Josh Cowen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,377
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Elyon Badger

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,121
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Muhammad Salman Rais

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,082
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate F

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate H

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate B

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate D

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate I

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate J

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate E

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate G

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate A

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate C

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 18

Intro

This market tracks which candidate will secure the Democratic Party nomination to represent Michigan's 7th congressional district in the 2026 midterm elections. On Polymarket, Bridget Brink holds 75.5% probability of winning the nomination, while William Lawrence stands at 18.0%. The resolution will be determined by official Democratic Party sources, including democrats.org, with the Democratic primary scheduled for August 4, 2026. Watch the primary election results on August 4, 2026, as that date will determine the nominee and settle this market.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Frequently asked questions

The MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the Democratic primary race in Michigan's 7th congressional district. You can monitor live probability estimates for each candidate, view 24-hour trading volume of $11,862, and observe cumulative market depth across all outcomes. The dashboard displays historical price movements, allowing you to see how trader sentiment has shifted as new information emerges. Total group volume stands at $155,928, reflecting sustained market interest in this race. This single-venue view provides transparency into how prediction market participants are pricing each candidate's nomination chances.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional polling averages because traders incorporate real-time information, campaign momentum, and fundraising data that polls may lag in capturing. While polls measure voter preference at a snapshot in time, prediction markets reflect ongoing bets by participants with financial incentive to forecast accurately. For the MI-07 Democratic primary, market prices may lead or trail polling depending on whether traders have identified emerging trends or candidate viability shifts that surveys have not yet fully reflected. Comparing these two signals helps identify where consensus breaks down and where uncertainty remains highest.

The MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner market is scheduled to resolve on Aug 4, 2026. Resolution will be determined by the official results of Michigan's Democratic primary election for the 7th congressional district. The market will identify which candidate receives the Democratic party's nomination for the general election in that race. Traders should monitor state election authority announcements, candidate filings, and primary date confirmations as the event approaches. Any changes to primary timing or procedures could affect market resolution timing.

Several catalysts could shift odds in the MI-07 Democratic primary market. Candidate endorsements from local or national figures often trigger sharp repricing as traders reassess viability. Campaign finance disclosures revealing fundraising strength or weakness influence perceived momentum. Public polling releases, debate performances, and media coverage of candidate gaffes or achievements all drive trading activity. Candidate entry or exit from the race creates immediate repricing. Local news coverage of district-specific issues, voter turnout patterns in early voting, and shifts in voter registration data can signal changing dynamics. Unexpected personal or legal developments affecting candidates may also move markets rapidly as traders update probability estimates.