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Mexico unemployment rate in July
kalshi

What will Mexico's unemployment rate be in July?

Volume:
$3,020

Above 2.8%

 - Kalshi

Above 2.8% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 27, 2026

Closed: Aug 27, 7:55 AM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 2.8%

View
100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$782
N/A
N/A
$373
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.7%

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$575
N/A
N/A
$365
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.6%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$99
N/A
N/A
$65
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.5%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$27
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.3%

View
100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18
N/A
N/A
$12
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.4%

View
100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.9%

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$994
N/A
N/A
$901
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.0%

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$510
N/A
N/A
$437
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2.2%

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks Mexico's unemployment performance for July 2026, focusing on whether the rate exceeds various threshold levels. It provides insight into the health of Mexico's labor market during that specific month. Higher unemployment rates typically signal weaker economic conditions and potential challenges in job creation.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple threshold conditions for Mexico's unemployment rate in July 2026, with each market resolving to 'Yes' if the reported rate exceeds its specific percentage threshold. Thresholds range incrementally from above 2.2% to above 3.0%. The outcome for each market depends solely on whether the official unemployment figure for that month surpasses its designated level, offering progressively stricter criteria as the threshold increases.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Mexico unemployment market dashboard tracks real-time odds and price history for this event, along with 24-hour volume of $537. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different unemployment rates for Mexico in July, reflecting market sentiment and expectations based on recent economic data and forecasts.

On Kalshi, the current odds reflect trader sentiment about the Mexico unemployment market. These odds can diverge from traditional analyst forecasts, which may rely on different models or data sets. Analysts often publish their predictions ahead of key economic releases, while market prices adjust in real time to new information and trading activity. Comparing both sources offers a broader perspective on expectations for this market.

This market resolves around Sep 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final unemployment figure for Mexico in July will be drawn from official government statistics or reputable international economic institutions, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process.

Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including key economic announcements from Mexico’s government, changes in global commodity prices, shifts in tourism or manufacturing data, and geopolitical developments affecting trade. Traders will also watch central bank policies and any unexpected shocks to labor markets, all of which can influence expectations for July’s unemployment rate.