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Mexico unemployment rate in August
kalshi

Mexico unemployment rate in August

Volume:
$7,674

Above 2.8%

 - Kalshi

Above 2.8% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 25, 2026

Closed: Sep 25, 7:55 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 2.8%

View
100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,623
N/A
N/A
$1,242
2d 11h 48m
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.9%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,534
N/A
N/A
$587
2d 11h 48m
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.7%

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$763
N/A
N/A
$517
2d 11h 48m
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.6%

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$492
N/A
N/A
$492
2d 11h 48m
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.4%

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$117
N/A
N/A
$117
2d 11h 48m
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.5%

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$89
N/A
N/A
$89
2d 11h 48m
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.0%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$994
N/A
N/A
$545
2d 11h 48m
No
kalshi

Above 3.1%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$568
N/A
N/A
$365
2d 11h 48m
No
kalshi

Above 3.2%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$494
N/A
N/A
$286
2d 11h 48m
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks Mexico's unemployment performance for August 2026, focusing on whether the rate exceeds various thresholds. It reflects economic health indicators that influence policy decisions and public sentiment. The outcome depends on official statistics released after the measurement period.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple sequential thresholds for Mexico’s unemployment rate in August 2026, each representing a progressively higher benchmark. All markets share the same measurement period and data source—the officially reported unemployment rate for that month. If the reported figure meets or exceeds any of the specified percentage levels, the corresponding market resolves affirmatively. The structure creates a tiered resolution framework where higher thresholds act as stricter conditions, allowing participants to assess probability across a range of potential economic outcomes within the same timeframe and under uniform verification standards.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard tracks real-time odds and price history for the Mexico unemployment market, alongside 24-hour volume of $920. It shows how traders price the probability of different unemployment rates for Mexico in August, reflecting market expectations based on economic data and forecasts. The display updates continuously as new trades occur, giving users insight into current sentiment and volatility within this market.

Currently, odds from this market reflect a different outlook than many analyst forecasts. While analysts may lean toward stability or slight shifts, traders are pricing in a range of possible outcomes, often reacting to recent economic data or policy signals faster than traditional reports. This gap can highlight areas where market participants diverge from institutional expectations.

This market resolves around Oct 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final unemployment figure for Mexico in August will be drawn from official government statistics, closing the market based on that authoritative release.

Several signals could shift this market before Oct 2, 2026. Key economic reports from Mexico — such as monthly employment data releases, inflation figures, or central bank announcements — will heavily influence trader sentiment. Political developments, trade policy changes, or shifts in global commodity prices may also affect outlooks. Natural disasters or public health crises could disrupt labor markets, creating volatility. Any major surprise in these areas is likely to move this market sharply as traders reassess probabilities.