TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Economics
Mexico unemployment rate in April
kalshi

Mexico unemployment rate in April

Volume:
$3,856

Above 2.3%

 - Kalshi

Above 2.3% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 28, 2026

Closed: May 28, 7:55 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 2.3%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$36
N/A
N/A
$29
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.2%

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$31
N/A
N/A
$30
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.4%

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
$8
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.6%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,479
N/A
N/A
$1,010
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2.5%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,328
N/A
N/A
$1,311
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2.7%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$470
N/A
N/A
$284
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2.9%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$248
N/A
N/A
$232
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2.8%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$164
N/A
N/A
$70
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.0%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$86
N/A
N/A
$56
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1.9%

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.0%

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 11

Description

Mexico's official unemployment rate for April 2026 is measured against various threshold levels to determine economic labor market conditions.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader expectations and often diverge from traditional analyst consensus. While economists and labor analysts publish point forecasts and ranges for Mexico's April unemployment rate, prediction markets aggregate dispersed information and incentivize accuracy through financial stakes. Comparing market-implied probabilities to published forecasts can reveal where traders see upside or downside risk relative to expert opinion, offering a complementary signal for understanding likely outcomes.

Key catalysts for the Mexico unemployment rate in April include monthly labor force surveys, manufacturing and services employment reports, and broader economic data releases. Policy announcements from Mexico's central bank or government regarding stimulus or labor reforms can shift expectations. Global economic conditions, trade developments, and seasonal employment patterns also influence the rate. Any revision to prior months' unemployment figures may reset trader positioning ahead of the April release.