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Meta (META) Up or Down on June 30?
polymarket

Meta (META) Up or Down on June 30?

Volume:
$2,365

Meta (META) Up or Down on June 30?

 - Polymarket

Meta (META) Up or Down on June 30? - Polymarket

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Resolved Jun 30, 2026

Closed: Jun 30, 4:00 PM EST

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Meta (META) Up or Down on June 30?

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100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,365
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on June 30, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on June 30, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on June 30, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on June 30, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Meta stock price prediction market displays real-time odds on whether Meta's share price will close above or below its current level on Jun 30, 2026. Traders on Polymarket buy and sell shares representing each outcome, and the current market price reflects the collective forecast. You can monitor the live odds, recent trade activity, and cumulative volume of $2,365 to gauge market sentiment. Historical price charts help you spot trends and volatility patterns as the event date approaches, giving you a complete snapshot of how prediction market participants are positioning themselves on Meta's near-term direction.

Prediction market odds and traditional analyst price targets operate on different timescales and methodologies. Analysts typically issue longer-term valuations based on earnings models and sector trends, while this market focuses on a specific price movement within a defined window. Prediction markets aggregate real-money bets from traders who face direct financial consequences for accuracy, often revealing forward-looking sentiment that may diverge from published research. Comparing the two can highlight where the crowd expects near-term catalysts or reversals that analysts haven't yet incorporated into their models.

On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share represents a claim on one outcome—either Meta up or down by the close of Jun 30, 2026. The price of each share reflects the implied probability; a share trading at 0.65 suggests a 65% chance of that outcome occurring. As new information emerges or trader sentiment shifts, the price adjusts in real time. You can enter or exit positions at any point before the market closes, and your profit or loss depends on the final settlement price relative to your entry.

This market resolves around Jun 30, 2026, when Meta's stock price movement is finalized for the trading day. The outcome is confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting of Meta's closing price. At that point, traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing shares expire worthless. The resolution is objective and based on widely available market data, ensuring transparency and eliminating ambiguity about which side prevailed.

Meta's stock price is sensitive to earnings announcements, user growth metrics, advertising revenue trends, and regulatory developments. Major product launches, AI investment updates, or shifts in Meta's capital allocation can trigger sharp repricing. Broader market moves—interest rate decisions, tech sector rotation, or macroeconomic data—often ripple through Meta shares alongside the wider market. Social media sentiment, competitive pressures from rivals, and management commentary during earnings calls can also sway trader positioning. Monitoring financial news, SEC filings, and Meta's official communications will help you anticipate moves that could shift this market's odds before settlement.