TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Meta (META) Up or Down on July 9?
polymarket

Meta (META) Up or Down on July 9?

Volume:
$5,274

Meta (META) Up or Down on July 9?

 - Polymarket

Meta (META) Up or Down on July 9? - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 9, 2026

Closed: Jul 9, 4:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Meta (META) Up or Down on July 9?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,274
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on July 9, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on July 9, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on July 9, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on July 9, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Meta stock direction market dashboard tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for whether Meta's stock will close up or down on July 9. The interface displays current implied probabilities, allowing traders to monitor how market sentiment shifts as new information emerges. You can view trading activity and liquidity depth to understand how confident participants are in each outcome. This live data helps you gauge consensus expectations around Meta's single-day performance and spot potential trading opportunities before the market closes.

Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst price targets because they reflect real-money commitments from a diverse crowd rather than a handful of institutional opinions. While equity analysts publish multi-month or multi-year forecasts, this market isolates a single day's directional move, making it more granular and responsive to near-term catalysts. Traders here incorporate breaking news, earnings surprises, and macroeconomic shifts faster than consensus estimates update. Comparing the implied probability in this market to analyst sentiment can reveal whether the crowd is pricing in risks or opportunities that Wall Street hasn't fully reflected.

On Polymarket, traders set the odds through an automated market maker that adjusts prices based on buy and sell volume. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability reflects the aggregate conviction of all participants; as more capital flows toward one outcome, the price moves to balance supply and demand. You can enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes, and your trade size influences the final price you receive. This continuous pricing mechanism ensures that the odds stay current with evolving market conditions and new information.

This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, once Meta's closing stock price for that day is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by whether the stock finished higher or lower than its opening price on July 9. No ambiguity exists in the measurement—it is a straightforward directional comparison. Once the market closes and the official price is confirmed, all positions settle automatically according to the winning outcome.

Major catalysts include Meta earnings announcements, regulatory developments affecting big tech, macroeconomic data releases, and shifts in advertising market sentiment. Competitive pressures from rivals, AI product launches, or management commentary can also swing trader expectations significantly. Broader market movements—such as Fed policy shifts or sector rotation—often drag individual stocks along. Social media sentiment and insider trading disclosures may influence short-term positioning. Any unexpected news tied to Meta's business, leadership, or the tech landscape could trigger rapid repricing before the market settles.