TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Financials
Mega Gengar ex Price Over/Under $1,118.76 on August 31?
kalshi
polymarket

Mega Gengar ex Price Up/Down on August 31?

Volume:
$14,845

Above $22.70

 - Kalshi

Above $22.70 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 2, 2026

Closed: Aug 31, 6:10 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $22.70

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,859
N/A
N/A
$4,271
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $23.60

100%
16%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,062
N/A
N/A
$152
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $23.50

100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$421
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $22.90

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$268
N/A
N/A
$228
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $23.10

100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $22.80

100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
$101
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $23.00

100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $23.30

100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$31
N/A
N/A
$31
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $22.60

100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
$20
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $23.40

100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
$20
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $23.20

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Mega Gengar ex Price Over/Under $1,118.76 on August 31?

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,894
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $23.70

0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,892
N/A
N/A
$251
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $24.00

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$315
N/A
N/A
$315
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $23.90

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$134
N/A
N/A
$94
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $25.50

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$114
N/A
N/A
$114
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $23.80

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$52
N/A
N/A
$52
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $24.40

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$47
N/A
N/A
$47
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $24.70

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
$40
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $24.90

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
$40
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $25.00

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
$40
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $25.10

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $25.20

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
$40
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $24.50

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24
N/A
N/A
$24
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $24.20

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
$20
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 31

Description

This event group tracks two distinct price movements: one for DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) eTT spot price thresholds in August 2026, and another for the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026. The markets resolve based on different price thresholds and sources.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental divergence: two completely different assets with separate resolution criteria (Pokémon card vs. DDR5 memory)Hero tip: Treat these as separate markets with no expected correlation. Verify you are betting on the correct asset class you intend to speculate on.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on Collectr's Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, SIR 284/217) on August 31, 2026. >$1,118.76 = Up, <$1,118.76 = Down, exact match = 50-50.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if the average DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) eTT spot price in August 2026 exceeds any of 30 specified thresholds from $22.6 to $25.5. No 'No' outcome explicitly defined in provided rules.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $1,118.76. This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,118.76. This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,118.76. This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered. If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the average value of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) eTT spot prices in August 2026, calculated as the arithmetic mean of daily values reported by Ornn. Each market has a specific price threshold; if the calculated average exceeds the respective threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise to No. Revisions to the underlying data after the expiration date are disregarded, and the USD iteration of the index is used unless otherwise specified. All values are rounded to two decimal places before evaluation.