TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 5:48 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $421.13. This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $421.13. This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $421.13. This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered. If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $421.13. This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $421.13. This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $421.13. This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered. If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
On Polymarket, this market uses a decentralized betting pool where traders buy 'yes' or 'no' shares based on their outlook for the Mega Charizard Y ex price movement. The current implied probability reflects the ratio of these shares. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Market depth and liquidity can shift the price, especially as trading volume grows. Traders monitor price feeds and market sentiment to time their entries. The market remains highly responsive to new information, with small bets able to cause noticeable price changes when overall volume is low.
This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will see the result automatically reflected on Polymarket shortly after that date, based on how the underlying price action compares to the market’s defined threshold.
Several signals could impact this market before Sep 1, 2026. Major announcements from the Pokémon Trading Card Game, such as new card reveals or promotional events featuring Mega Charizard Y ex, may drive interest and shift pricing. Broader market trends in collectible card values, including speculative buying or selling cycles, could also influence trader sentiment. Media coverage highlighting the card’s rarity or value potential might attract new participants. Finally, any unexpected economic factors affecting collector spending power — like shifts in discretionary income — may subtly affect trading activity and price discovery.