TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Politics
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
polymarket

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

Volume:
$140,108

SPD

 - Polymarket

SPD - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 21, 2026

Closed: Sep 21, 7:38 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

SPD

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$59,216
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

AfD

0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$68,416
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

FDP

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,084
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Grüne

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,944
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

BSW

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,920
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

CDU

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,902
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Linke

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,877
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

FW

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,749
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party A

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party B

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party C

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party D

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party E

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party F

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party G

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party H

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party I

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party J

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party K

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party L

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party M

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party N

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party O

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 24

Description

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).

Polymarket

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).

Frequently asked questions

Compared to polling averages, this market often reflects a more nuanced view of voter sentiment and strategic dynamics. While polls provide a snapshot of public opinion, traders incorporate additional factors such as recent events, candidate momentum, and historical voting patterns. This can lead to notable differences between the two, especially as the election approaches.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders set the odds through continuous trading, with the current implied chance reflecting market supply and demand. The price adjusts dynamically based on trading volume of $140,108, news developments, and shifts in voter sentiment, offering a real-time aggregate of participant expectations for who will finish second.

This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the election results are verifiable from credible public reporting. The second-place finisher will be determined by the official vote tally, and this market will settle accordingly based on those final results.

Key debates, polling updates, party endorsements, and any major scandals or policy shifts can significantly impact this market. Traders will react to evolving voter sentiment, regional turnout trends, and coalition negotiations, all of which could alter the perceived likelihood of each party securing the second position in the final tally.