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McDonald's Egg McMuffin price in October
kalshi

What will the Egg McMuffin price be?

Volume:
$14,567

At least $4.76

 - Kalshi

At least $4.76 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 1:25 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

At least $4.76

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,256
N/A
N/A
$3,279
6d 6h 6m
Yes
kalshi

At least $4.77

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$660
N/A
N/A
$451
6d 6h 6m
Yes
kalshi

At least $4.81

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,903
N/A
N/A
$1,400
6d 6h 6m
No
kalshi

At least $4.80

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,252
N/A
N/A
$1,014
6d 6h 6m
No
kalshi

At least $4.82

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$639
N/A
N/A
$361
6d 6h 6m
No
kalshi

At least $4.78

View
0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$575
N/A
N/A
$497
6d 6h 6m
No
kalshi

At least $4.79

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$282
N/A
N/A
$269
6d 6h 6m
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event tracks how much a McDonald's Egg McMuffin costs on average across the United States during October 2026. The focus is on consumer pricing trends for this popular breakfast item, reflecting broader economic factors like inflation or cost adjustments in the fast-food industry.

Kalshi

All markets in this event resolve based on the same underlying data point: the first October 2026 value reported by Spice Data for the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin. Each market has a different threshold price, ranging from $4.76 to $4.82. If the reported average price meets or exceeds a market's specific threshold, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Post-reporting corrections or revisions to the data will not change the outcome. No endorsement from McDonald’s Corporation is implied, and all references to McDonald’s or its marks are used descriptively only.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the predictions within this market to traditional analyst forecasts, as those haven't been widely published for the specific price of an Egg McMuffin in October 2026. However, prediction markets often aggregate diverse information and incentivize accurate forecasting, potentially offering a more real-time and nuanced view than static analyst predictions. If analysts were to publish forecasts, it would be interesting to see how they align with the collective wisdom reflected in this market’s pricing.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin in October 2026 will be above or below a certain threshold. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective expectations of all participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price movements are driven solely by traders on Kalshi and their assessment of the likelihood of different price outcomes.

This market resolves around Nov 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will depend on the average U.S. retail price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin during the month of October 2026. This price will be determined based on publicly available data and verified against credible sources. The final price will dictate whether contracts predicting a price above or below a certain level will pay out.

Several factors could influence the price in this market over the next couple of years. Changes in the cost of ingredients like eggs, pork, and cheese would likely have a significant impact. Broader economic conditions, such as inflation or a recession, could also affect pricing decisions by McDonald's. Unexpected supply chain disruptions or shifts in consumer demand for breakfast items could also move the market. Finally, any announcements from McDonald's regarding pricing strategies or menu changes would be closely watched by traders.