TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

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2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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39%

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61%

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May Producer Inflation China - Annual
limitless

May Producer Inflation China - Annual

Volume:
$9,379

3.5%+

 - Limitless

3.5%+ - Limitless

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 11, 2026

Closed: Jun 11, 6:13 AM EST

limitless

Limitless

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
limitless

3.5%+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
49.9¢
N/A
$1,101
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

2.9–3.1%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
49.9¢
N/A
$1,459
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

2.6–2.8%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
49.9¢
N/A
$1,422
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

3.2–3.4%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
49.9¢
N/A
$1,409
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

2.3–2.5%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
49.9¢
N/A
$1,376
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

<2.3%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
49.9¢
N/A
$1,354
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

other

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
89.9¢
N/A
$1,258
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This is a market about the variation of producer prices in China over the 12-month period ending May 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China. This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for industrial products during the 12-month period ending May 2026 according to the monthly NBS report. The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Industrial Producer Price Index monthly report released for May 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in June 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for May 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Industrial Producer Price Index in May 2026", and finding the producer price indexes for industrial products figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)". Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS PPI news release which reports producer price changes during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/

Limitless

This is a market about the variation of producer prices in China over the 12-month period ending May 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China. This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for industrial products during the 12-month period ending May 2026 according to the monthly NBS report. The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Industrial Producer Price Index monthly report released for May 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in June 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for May 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Industrial Producer Price Index in May 2026", and finding the producer price indexes for industrial products figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)". Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS PPI news release which reports producer price changes during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Limitless often diverge from consensus analyst forecasts for China's producer inflation. While traditional economists and financial institutions publish point estimates and ranges based on models and surveys, prediction markets aggregate real-money bets from diverse participants, capturing tail risks and market sentiment that surveys may miss. Analysts typically focus on median expectations, whereas markets price in the full probability distribution of outcomes. Comparing Limitless odds to Bloomberg consensus or central bank guidance can reveal whether traders are pricing in higher volatility, policy surprises, or economic shifts that experts have not yet fully incorporated into their forecasts.

May Producer Inflation China - Annual is priced on Limitless through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to specific outcome ranges or point estimates. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome contract reflects the market's collective probability assessment, with prices ranging from near-zero to near-unity. Liquidity and trading volume determine bid-ask spreads; higher volume typically narrows spreads and improves price discovery. Traders can enter limit or market orders to express their views on whether the May PPI figure will fall within predicted bands, and the platform updates prices in real time as new information and trades flow in.

The May Producer Inflation China - Annual market resolves on Jun 11, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official producer price index data released by China's National Bureau of Statistics for May. The specific outcome—whether inflation rose, fell, or remained flat relative to prior months or year-over-year—will be matched against the pre-defined outcome categories in the market. Once the official figure is published and verified, the winning outcome is declared and traders' positions settle accordingly. Timing of the data release and any subsequent revisions are key factors in determining the exact resolution moment.

Several catalysts could shift odds for May Producer Inflation China - Annual before resolution. Upstream commodity prices—particularly oil, metals, and agricultural inputs—directly influence producer costs and inflation readings. Chinese manufacturing PMI releases, export orders, and industrial production data provide early signals of demand and pricing pressure. Global supply-chain disruptions, shipping costs, and currency movements also impact input prices. Policy announcements from China's central bank regarding monetary stimulus or credit conditions can alter inflation expectations. Additionally, geopolitical tensions, trade developments, and revisions to prior months' PPI figures may prompt traders to reassess their positions, driving volatility in market odds.