TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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May Inflation US - Monthly
limitless

May Inflation US - Monthly

Volume:
$79

≤0.1%

 - Limitless

≤0.1% - Limitless

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 10, 2026

Closed: Jun 10, 8:30 AM EST

limitless

Limitless

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
limitless

≤0.1%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

0.3%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99¢
N/A
$29
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

0.2%

View
N/A
N/A
99¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

0.4%

View
N/A
N/A
99¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

0.5%

View
N/A
N/A
99¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

0.6%

View
N/A
N/A
99¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

0.7%

View
N/A
N/A
98.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

0.8%

View
N/A
N/A
98.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

≥0.9%

View
N/A
N/A
98.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Limitless reflect aggregated trader bets rather than individual analyst estimates. While Wall Street economists and Federal Reserve officials publish point forecasts for May inflation, prediction markets compress those views into probabilistic odds that update continuously as new labor, energy, and consumer spending data arrive. Markets often price in tail risks and uncertainty that traditional forecasts downplay. Comparing Limitless odds to consensus economist expectations reveals whether traders are pricing inflation risks more hawkishly or dovishly than the mainstream view, offering a complementary lens on inflation expectations.

The May Inflation US - Monthly market resolves on Jun 10, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official inflation reading released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics for the May period. The specific metric and exact timing of the BLS release will determine which outcome contract is deemed correct. Traders should monitor the BLS calendar and any preliminary or revised inflation data that may affect the final settlement. The market locks in its outcome once the authoritative inflation figure is published and verified.

May Inflation US - Monthly odds will respond to monthly employment reports, retail sales figures, producer price data, and energy price swings leading up to the BLS release. Federal Reserve communications—including interest rate decisions and forward guidance—can shift inflation expectations sharply. Geopolitical shocks affecting oil and commodity markets, supply chain disruptions, and wage growth announcements all influence trader positioning. Consumer spending patterns and housing data also matter. As May approaches, preliminary inflation indicators and market-implied expectations from Treasury yields and inflation swaps will increasingly anchor the market's pricing.