Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? (Ed Markey)

Kalshi

All markets depend on Ed Markey’s margin of victory in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary, defined as the percentage difference between Markey’s vote share and that of his nearest rival. Margins are calculated exclusively from valid votes cast for candidates in the primary, with any votes for Markey under multiple party listings or duplicate entries aggregated to avoid double-counting. Each market corresponds to a specific margin threshold: a "Yes" outcome occurs only if Markey’s margin equals or exceeds the stated percentage (e.g., ≥5%, ≥10%, etc.), while a "No" outcome applies if the margin falls below that threshold. No rounding is applied to the final margin percentage, and intervals are structured such that the lower bound is inclusive and the upper bound exclusive (e.g., exactly 6% resolves in the ≥6% market, not ≥5%). If Markey does not win outright, the margin is treated as negative, and if he ties for first place, the margin is zero. These rules ensure precise, unambiguous resolution based solely on official primary results.