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Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary: Ed Markey vote percent
kalshi

What will Ed Markey's vote percent be in the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary?

Volume:
$71,041

At least 60%

 - Kalshi

At least 60% - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 9, 2026

Closed: Sep 9, 6:50 PM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

At least 60%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,452
N/A
N/A
$6,156
11mo 6d
Yes
kalshi

At least 55%

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,391
N/A
N/A
$3,795
11mo 6d
Yes
kalshi

At least 50%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,881
N/A
N/A
$2,580
11mo 6d
Yes
kalshi

At least 45%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,337
N/A
N/A
$1,034
11mo 6d
Yes
kalshi

At least 65%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26,075
N/A
N/A
$11,416
11mo 6d
No
kalshi

At least 75%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,789
N/A
N/A
$4,863
11mo 6d
No
kalshi

At least 70%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,115
N/A
N/A
$3,237
11mo 6d
No
Total markets: 7

Description

Also in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary, Ed Markey seeks re-election against challengers. This market assesses whether Markey secures various vote share milestones according to official tallies.

Kalshi

Several vote share thresholds (45%, 50%, 55%, 60%, 65%, 70%, and 75%) are evaluated for market resolution. Markey's certified vote percentage, computed as (votes for Markey ÷ total valid votes) × 100 and appropriately rounded, must meet or exceed any of these levels for a 'Yes' result. Certified results are the sole basis for resolution, incorporating write-in votes if certified and reflecting any recount updates. The market defaults to 'No' if the election is canceled, delayed beyond expiration, or lacks certified outcomes by the deadline.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the real-time odds and price history for the Massachusetts Senate primary race, alongside current 24-hour volume of $4,601. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the chances of different outcomes as the primary date approaches, giving you a live snapshot of market sentiment and trading activity centered on this specific contest.

On Kalshi, this market currently reflects trader sentiment about the Massachusetts Senate primary race. While polling averages offer another perspective, prediction market odds incorporate real-time betting activity and can diverge based on perceived risks, liquidity, and trader expectations. The difference between market prices and polls may widen if new information emerges, such as candidate controversies or shifts in voter turnout forecasts. Traders often see markets as complementary to polls, offering a dynamic view of likely outcomes.

This market resolves around Sep 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the results are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final vote tally will settle the market, reflecting the actual percentage of votes each candidate receives in the Massachusetts Senate primary race.

Several signals could shift this market before Sep 1, 2027. Key catalysts include debate performance, endorsements from influential figures, changes in campaign funding, and emerging scandals. Economic indicators or national political trends may also influence voter preferences. Media coverage shaping public perception can cause rapid price movements. As the primary date approaches, polling updates will carry significant weight, often prompting traders to adjust positions based on the latest data.