TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$129,159,707

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,442,132,418

404,744

Markets across

30,489

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Marriott International total rooms in Q2
kalshi

Marriott International total rooms in Q2

Volume:
$50,398

Above 1.81 million

 - Kalshi

Above 1.81 million - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 3, 2026

Closed: Aug 3, 1:10 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 1.81 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,152
N/A
N/A
$3,301
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1.805 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,578
N/A
N/A
$2,492
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1.815 million

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,534
N/A
N/A
$18,623
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1.82 million

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,771
N/A
N/A
$8,954
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1.825 million

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,363
N/A
N/A
$4,329
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Intro

This market tracks whether Marriott International will report more than 1.805 million total rooms across its global portfolio during the second quarter of 2026. On Kalshi, the leading outcome—that Marriott exceeds this threshold—stands at 93.0%. The resolution will be determined by Marriott International's official Q2 2026 earnings report. Watch for the company's quarterly earnings announcement on or around September 3, 2026, when management will disclose total room counts and provide guidance on portfolio expansion.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on Marriott International's official Q2 2026 report of total rooms. Each threshold from 1.805 million through 1.825 million (in 5,000-room increments) represents a separate resolution point. The reported total rooms figure is compared directly to each threshold; if the reported figure exceeds a given threshold, that corresponding market resolves to Yes. All thresholds are evaluated independently based on the single reported total rooms figure.

Frequently asked questions

The market resolves on Sep 3, 2026. Resolution is determined by Marriott International's official Q2 2026 earnings report and investor disclosures, which will state the company's total rooms at the end of the second quarter. The outcome hinges on whether reported rooms exceed or fall short of the 1.81 million threshold. Once Marriott publishes its quarterly results, the market settles based on the actual figure disclosed in SEC filings or earnings materials.

Key catalysts include new hotel openings and closures announced by Marriott, acquisition or divestiture activity, franchise agreements, and renovations affecting room counts. Quarterly earnings previews, management guidance updates, and industry travel trends will influence trader expectations. Macroeconomic conditions, interest rates, and consumer demand forecasts also shape sentiment around Marriott's expansion pace. Competitor announcements and broader hospitality sector news may shift perceptions of Marriott's competitive position and room growth trajectory heading into Q2 2026.