TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 11:25 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the integration of artificial intelligence technologies within the manufacturing industry by August 2026. It focuses on measuring how widely AI tools and systems are adopted across manufacturing processes during that specific month. The outcome depends on reported data reflecting the penetration and usage levels of AI in this sector.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for AI adoption rates in the manufacturing sector as reported by the Ramp AI Index for August 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific percentage threshold, ranging from above 60.5% to above 64%. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the reported adoption rate exceeds its designated threshold. The determination for all markets is based on the first publicly reported value for the Ramp AI Index: Sector adoption rate - Manufacturing for August 2026. Any corrections or revisions to the index after the initial report and market settlement will not alter the outcome. The markets are independent, allowing participants to speculate on various levels of AI adoption within the manufacturing industry for the specified month.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the price for this market through buying and selling contracts that represent the two possible outcomes. The current implied probability reflects the most recent trading activity and available volume of $3,775. Prices adjust continuously based on new information and trader sentiment, offering a real-time view of expectations for manufacturing AI adoption.
This market resolves around Oct 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will hinge on whether the reported August manufacturing AI adoption rate meets the specified benchmark, closing the market and fixing payouts for all participants.
Key signals that could shift this market include major technology announcements, regulatory updates affecting AI deployment, quarterly earnings reports from leading manufacturing firms, and broader economic indicators influencing technology investment. Any data suggesting faster or slower-than-expected AI integration in the sector may cause traders to adjust their positions ahead of the resolution date.