TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the expected fluctuation of gasoline costs in Maine over a single day. It reflects how analysts and the public might attempt to predict short-term changes in fuel pricing influenced by supply, demand, and local economic factors. The outcome depends on a single data point measured by a trusted source.
The event evaluates multiple threshold-based outcomes for Maine's average regular gas price on a specific date, using data from AAA. Each market corresponds to a distinct price threshold, and the market resolves to 'Yes' only if the published average price strictly exceeds that exact threshold. Thresholds are incrementally higher, spaced at $0.005 intervals from $4.3000 to $4.3800. All markets share the same resolution date and data source, ensuring consistency across outcomes. The event allows for multiple 'Yes' resolutions if the actual price exceeds several thresholds simultaneously, with each threshold operating independently under identical verification conditions.