TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the expected fluctuation of gasoline costs in Maine over a single day. It reflects how analysts and the public might attempt to predict short-term changes in fuel pricing influenced by factors such as supply chain dynamics, local demand, and broader economic indicators. The outcome depends solely on the recorded average price at a specific future date.
The event evaluates multiple threshold-based outcomes for Maine's average regular gas price on October 19, 2026, all sourced from AAA data. Each market corresponds to a distinct price threshold, ranging incrementally from $4.3050 to $4.3850. For any given threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes' only if the recorded average price strictly exceeds that exact value. No market closes as 'Yes' if the price equals or falls below its respective threshold. All markets are evaluated independently, meaning a single price observation could validate multiple thresholds simultaneously (e.g., a price of $4.39 would trigger 'Yes' for all thresholds at or below $4.39 while resolving 'No' for any higher thresholds). The structure allows participants to bet on the precise level of price movement within a tightly bounded range, with outcomes determined exclusively by the numerical comparison between the actual AAA-reported average and each threshold.