TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Patrick Roath, ≥2%
- Kalshi
Patrick Roath, ≥2% - Kalshi
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 9, 2026
Latest in Elections
Closed: Sep 9, 6:47 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
The same Democratic primary in Massachusetts' 8th district will determine Patrick Roath’s nomination prospects. Voters will decide between candidates, with the result shaping the party’s candidate for the congressional race.
Kalshi
Multiple markets evaluate whether Patrick Roath achieves specific margin thresholds in the 2026 MA-08 Democratic primary. The margin of victory is calculated as Roath’s vote share minus the next highest candidate’s share if Roath wins, or the highest candidate’s share if Roath loses. Margins are assessed without rounding, with each range inclusive of the lower bound and exclusive of the upper bound. Votes for Roath across multiple parties or listings are summed. Markets resolve to Yes if Roath’s margin meets or exceeds the specified percentage thresholds (2%, 4%, 6%, 8%, or 10%).
Frequently asked questions
This market resolves around Sep 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the official vote count is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final margin will be calculated from certified election results, and the market will settle based on whether it meets the defined threshold — all without any manual intervention or platform discretion.
Key events like candidate debates, endorsement shifts, local scandals, or polling updates can all shift this market. Economic announcements, national political waves, or even weather events affecting voter turnout may also influence trader sentiment. Any development that changes perceptions of voter behavior or likely turnout will be reflected in price movements leading up to Sep 1, 2027.
