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Lowe's Monthly Credit Card Spend in August
kalshi

Lowe's Monthly Credit Card Spend in August

Volume:
$11,222

Above 94

 - Kalshi

Above 94 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 5, 2026

Closed: Sep 5, 11:03 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 94

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,081
N/A
N/A
$1,210
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 95

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,401
N/A
N/A
$1,041
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,157
N/A
N/A
$876
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 96

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,718
N/A
N/A
$697
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 100

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,314
N/A
N/A
$279
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 102

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$873
N/A
N/A
$255
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 97

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$844
N/A
N/A
$608
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 98

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$740
N/A
N/A
$287
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 101

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
$59
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks Lowe's credit card spending trends for August 2026 using a specialized index that compares year-over-year changes in U.S. store visits. The index is derived from mobile location data and adjusted for seasonal variations, weather, and holidays. Higher index values signify increased spending relative to the previous year, reflecting consumer behavior patterns.

Kalshi

All markets in this event are resolved based on the Carbon Arc Lowe's Monthly Credit Card Spend index for August 2026. Each market has a specific threshold (ranging from above 94 to above 102), and if the reported index value exceeds the respective threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The determination is made using the first value reported by Carbon Arc for August 2026, and any subsequent corrections or revisions after the market settlement will not affect the outcome. The index measures year-over-year changes in U.S. store visits, with 100 representing equal spending to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth, while values below 100 indicate decline. The data is collected from over 200 million devices, matched to the same calendar days of the prior year and normalized for seasonality, weather, and holidays. The panel updates daily as new data becomes available.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations. While analysts may incorporate a wide range of economic indicators and historical trends, traders on Kalshi react quickly to new data, rumors, and market sentiment. This can lead to divergence between the two, especially if recent events suggest a shift in consumer spending behavior that isn’t yet reflected in longer-term forecasts.

This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will rely on officially released data from Lowe's or a recognized financial authority, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process. Traders should monitor official announcements and credible news sources as the resolution date approaches to anticipate any last-minute shifts.

Several signals could influence this market before resolution, including monthly retail sales reports, consumer confidence indices, and any major economic announcements affecting discretionary spending. Earnings calls from Lowe's or competitor companies may also shift expectations. Additionally, broader macroeconomic trends, such as changes in interest rates or consumer credit conditions, can impact trader sentiment and move the odds significantly as new information emerges.