TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowe's comparable sales growth in Q2
kalshi

Lowe's comparable sales growth in Q2

Volume:
$10,426

Above 0%

 - Kalshi

Above 0% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 19, 2026

Closed: Aug 19, 11:07 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 0%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,825
N/A
N/A
$1,811
2mo 2w 3d
Yes
kalshi

Above -0.5%

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$275
N/A
N/A
$275
2mo 2w 3d
Yes
kalshi

Above -1%

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$114
N/A
N/A
$114
2mo 2w 3d
Yes
kalshi

Above 0.5%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,315
N/A
N/A
$4,315
2mo 2w 3d
No
kalshi

Above 1%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,868
N/A
N/A
$2,844
2mo 2w 3d
No
kalshi

Above 2.5%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$529
N/A
N/A
$529
2mo 2w 3d
No
kalshi

Above 2%

0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$497
N/A
N/A
$400
2mo 2w 3d
No
kalshi

Above 4%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$2
2mo 2w 3d
No
kalshi

Above 1.5%

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 2w 3d
No
kalshi

Above 3%

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 2w 3d
No
kalshi

Above 3.5%

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 2w 3d
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This event tracks Lowe's Companies Inc.'s performance in the second quarter of 2026 by measuring how much its comparable sales grow compared to the same period in the previous year. Comparable sales growth is a key indicator of a retailer's ability to attract customers and maintain or improve its market position. The outcome depends on whether the reported growth exceeds various positive thresholds.

Kalshi

The event resolves to Yes if Lowe's Companies Inc. reports comparable sales growth above any of the specified thresholds in Q2 2026. Thresholds range from above -1.0% to above 4.0%, meaning any positive or minimally negative growth above these levels will trigger a Yes outcome. The structure allows for multiple resolving conditions, with each threshold representing an increasingly stringent performance benchmark. If the company's reported growth meets or exceeds any of these levels, the market settles positively, reflecting a broad spectrum of acceptable performance outcomes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Lowe's Q2 sales growth market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $7,876. It shows how traders price the likelihood of different sales growth outcomes for Lowe's in the second quarter, offering a live view of market sentiment and activity.

Compared to analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a broader set of expectations, including risks and scenarios not fully captured in traditional equity research. While analysts may provide detailed earnings guidance, traders on Kalshi price in real-time adjustments based on macro trends, consumer data, and competitive pressures.

This market resolves around Dec 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final sales growth figure will be compared against the market's defined categories, closing all positions based on the officially reported result.

Several signals could shift this market before Dec 16, 2026. Quarterly earnings reports from Lowe's, same-store sales data, and major economic indicators like consumer confidence will be closely watched. Competitor performance, especially from home improvement rivals, may also influence expectations. Supply chain updates, store expansion news, and management guidance during investor calls are additional catalysts. Any unexpected macro events affecting consumer spending or construction activity could further impact trader sentiment and market pricing as resolution approaches.