TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 19, 11:07 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks Lowe's Companies Inc.'s performance in the second quarter of 2026 by measuring how much its comparable sales grow compared to the same period in the previous year. Comparable sales growth is a key indicator of a retailer's ability to attract customers and maintain or improve its market position. The outcome depends on whether the reported growth exceeds various positive thresholds.
The event resolves to Yes if Lowe's Companies Inc. reports comparable sales growth above any of the specified thresholds in Q2 2026. Thresholds range from above -1.0% to above 4.0%, meaning any positive or minimally negative growth above these levels will trigger a Yes outcome. The structure allows for multiple resolving conditions, with each threshold representing an increasingly stringent performance benchmark. If the company's reported growth meets or exceeds any of these levels, the market settles positively, reflecting a broad spectrum of acceptable performance outcomes.
Compared to analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a broader set of expectations, including risks and scenarios not fully captured in traditional equity research. While analysts may provide detailed earnings guidance, traders on Kalshi price in real-time adjustments based on macro trends, consumer data, and competitive pressures.
This market resolves around Dec 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final sales growth figure will be compared against the market's defined categories, closing all positions based on the officially reported result.
Several signals could shift this market before Dec 16, 2026. Quarterly earnings reports from Lowe's, same-store sales data, and major economic indicators like consumer confidence will be closely watched. Competitor performance, especially from home improvement rivals, may also influence expectations. Supply chain updates, store expansion news, and management guidance during investor calls are additional catalysts. Any unexpected macro events affecting consumer spending or construction activity could further impact trader sentiment and market pricing as resolution approaches.