TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Elections
Los Angeles mayoral election: first round winner
kalshi

Los Angeles mayoral election: first round winner

Volume:
$3,848,746

Karen Bass

 - Kalshi

Karen Bass - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 27, 2026

Closed: Jun 27, 11:14 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Karen Bass

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$946,232
N/A
N/A
$431,891
8mo 5d
Yes
kalshi

Spencer Pratt

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,979,439
N/A
N/A
$1,093,725
8mo 5d
No
kalshi

Nithya Raman

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$911,766
N/A
N/A
$540,136
8mo 5d
No
kalshi

Adam Miller

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,130
N/A
N/A
$4,091
8mo 5d
No
kalshi

Rae Huang

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,179
N/A
N/A
$1,195
8mo 5d
No
Total markets: 5

Intro

This market on Kalshi tracks whether Nithya Raman will win the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election scheduled for 2026, with the leading outcome at 99.0% probability and the alternative outcome at 1.0%. Resolution is determined by official results from the Los Angeles mayoral election first round. Watch for the completion of first-round voting in 2026, which will determine whether the market resolves to Yes or No based on the official outcome.

Kalshi

The first-round winner of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is determined by which candidate receives a plurality of votes in the initial voting round. Markets are eligible for accelerated determination once a consensus of media organizations projects the winner, allowing for earlier resolution based on reliable reporting rather than waiting for official certification.

Frequently asked questions

The Los Angeles mayoral election: first round winner dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the first-round outcome of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral race. It displays the current probability estimate for the leading candidate, historical price movements, and 24-hour trading volume of $1,793. The dashboard aggregates all contracts related to this election event, showing cumulative liquidity of $3,848,746 and allowing traders to monitor how market sentiment shifts as the election approaches Jun 2, 2027.

The Los Angeles mayoral election: first round winner market resolves on Jun 2, 2027, following the official first-round voting in Los Angeles. Resolution is determined by the candidate who receives the most votes in that round, as certified by the Los Angeles County Registrar-Recorder and other official election authorities. The market will settle based on the publicly announced results, ensuring that all traders have access to the same authoritative outcome data before final payouts are processed.

Several catalysts could shift odds for the Los Angeles mayoral election: first round winner before Jun 2, 2027. Major campaign announcements, endorsements from prominent city officials, and media coverage of candidate platforms can reshape trader expectations. Polling releases, debate performances, and fundraising reports provide new information about candidate viability. Late-breaking scandals or gaffes may damage a frontrunner's chances, while grassroots mobilization efforts could boost an underdog. Turnout forecasts and demographic shifts in voter registration also influence market pricing as traders reassess which candidate is most likely to win the first round.