TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Elections
Los Angeles City Council District 1 winner
kalshi

Los Angeles City Council District 1 winner

Volume:
$5,945

Eunisses Hernandez

 - Kalshi

Eunisses Hernandez - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 8, 2026

Closed: Aug 8, 12:50 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Eunisses Hernandez

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,799
N/A
N/A
$2,137
1mo 4d
Yes
kalshi

Nelson Grande

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$626
N/A
N/A
$576
1mo 4d
No
kalshi

Raul Claros

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$521
N/A
N/A
$260
1mo 4d
No
kalshi

Sylvia Robledo

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$500
N/A
N/A
$250
1mo 4d
No
kalshi

Maria Lou Calanche

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$500
N/A
N/A
$250
1mo 4d
No
Total markets: 5

Intro

This market tracks whether Maria Lou Calanche will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council District 1 election. On Kalshi, the probability of Calanche winning stands at 70.5%, with an alternative outcome at 15.5%. The market resolves according to the official results of the District 1 election as determined by Los Angeles election authorities. Watch for campaign announcements and endorsements leading up to the November 3, 2026 election date to gauge shifts in candidate viability.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes upon the victory of any candidate in the 2026 Los Angeles City Council District 1 election. Resolution may be accelerated following a consensus projection by major media organizations. The outcome is determined by the winner of the general election in this district.

Frequently asked questions

The Los Angeles City Council District 1 winner dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the 2026 election outcome. It displays the current implied probability of each candidate, historical price movements, and market depth. The dashboard updates live as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the collective forecast of market participants. You can monitor $5,945 in total group volume and $0 in 24-hour trading activity to gauge market interest and liquidity. This single-venue view provides transparency into how prediction markets are pricing the District 1 race.

The Los Angeles City Council District 1 winner market on Kalshi resolves on Nov 3, 2026, following the official election date. Resolution is determined by the official results certified by the Los Angeles County Registrar-Recorder and the City Clerk. The market identifies which candidate receives the most votes in the District 1 race and declares that candidate the winner. Once results are certified and verified, Kalshi settles the winning outcome contract at one dollar and losing contracts at zero. Traders holding winning shares receive their payout automatically. The resolution process typically occurs within days of the election as official canvassing and certification are completed.

Several catalysts could shift odds for the Los Angeles City Council District 1 winner race. Major campaign announcements, endorsements from prominent local figures, and fundraising reports signal candidate viability and momentum. Debates or public forums may reshape voter perceptions and trader expectations. Local media coverage of policy positions, scandals, or community issues can rapidly reprrice outcomes. Turnout forecasts and early voting data closer to election day provide real-time signals about voter engagement. Demographic shifts, ballot measure outcomes affecting District 1, and last-minute campaign developments all influence market pricing. Traders continuously incorporate new information, so watch for breaking news, polling releases, and campaign milestones that could move implied probabilities significantly.