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Lime IPO Closing Market Cap
polymarket

What will Neutron Holdings' market cap be at IPO closing on July 1, 2026?

Volume:
$14,103

$1.4B-$1.7B

 - Polymarket

$1.4B-$1.7B - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 2, 2026

Closed: Jul 1, 5:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$1.4B-$1.7B

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,941
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

<$1.4B

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,357
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$1.7B-$2B

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,889
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

No IPO before September 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,051
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$2B-$2.3B

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$680
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>$2.6B

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$655
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$2.3B-$2.6B

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$530
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This market will resolve based on Neutron Holdings' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on July 1 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before September 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading. In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.

Polymarket

This market will resolve based on Neutron Holdings' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on July 1 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before September 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading. In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Lime IPO valuation market dashboard tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for predictions about Lime's closing market capitalization on its first day of trading. The dashboard displays current implied probabilities, allowing traders to monitor how sentiment shifts as new information emerges. You can view trading activity and liquidity depth to understand market conviction around different valuation thresholds. This live data helps participants assess whether consensus leans toward a sub-$1.4 billion or higher closing valuation.

Prediction markets and traditional analyst forecasts often diverge because they operate on different incentive structures. Analysts publish reports based on financial models and comparable company valuations, while traders in this market put real capital at risk, creating a direct penalty for inaccuracy. Comparing the implied odds here to published equity research and investment bank estimates can reveal where the crowd sees asymmetric risk. If prediction market participants are pricing in outcomes that major analysts haven't emphasized, it may signal either market inefficiency or forward-looking insight.

On Polymarket, traders set the odds through an automated market maker mechanism where buying and selling pressure directly moves the price. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome—such as whether Lime's market cap closes below $1.4 billion—has its own contract, and the combined probability of all outcomes sums to 100 percent. Liquidity providers and speculators trade these contracts, and the current price reflects the collective belief about the likelihood of each scenario. Higher prices indicate stronger conviction that an outcome will occur.

This market resolves around Jul 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once Lime's IPO closing market capitalization is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on the official closing valuation reported by financial data providers and news sources on the day of the IPO. Traders will know the result as soon as the market close is finalized and widely reported, allowing the platform to settle positions based on whether the actual closing cap meets or exceeds the specified threshold.

Several catalysts could shift odds significantly before the IPO closes. Lime's formal S-1 filing and roadshow presentations will reveal management guidance and growth projections. Broader market conditions, including tech sector momentum and investor appetite for mobility stocks, will influence demand. Competitor performance and regulatory developments around micromobility could reshape investor sentiment. Media coverage and analyst initiations closer to the IPO date may also sway trader positioning. Any material changes to Lime's business outlook or market conditions will likely trigger repricing in this market.