TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Politics
Likud Party Primary Winner
polymarket

Who will win the Likud Party Primary election?

Volume:
$99,190

Eli Cohen

 - Polymarket

Eli Cohen - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 18, 2026

Closed: Aug 18, 4:49 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Eli Cohen

View
100%
85%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,897
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 6d 4h
Yes
polymarket

Amir Ohana

0%
87%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,622
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 6d 4h
No
polymarket

Tally Gotliv

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,462
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 6d 4h
No
polymarket

No Primary by Knesset Election

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,901
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 6d 4h
No
polymarket

Yariv Levin

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,516
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 6d 4h
No
polymarket

Israel Katz

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,026
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 6d 4h
No
polymarket

Nir Barkat

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,941
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 6d 4h
No
polymarket

Shlomo Karhi

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,683
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 6d 4h
No
polymarket

Boaz Bismuth

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,414
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 6d 4h
No
polymarket

Moshe Saada

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,045
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 6d 4h
No
polymarket

Miki Zohar

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,727
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 6d 4h
No
polymarket

Miri Regev

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,677
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 6d 4h
No
polymarket

David Amsalem

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,457
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 6d 4h
No
polymarket

David Bitan

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,431
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 6d 4h
No
polymarket

Yoav Kisch

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,262
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 6d 4h
No
polymarket

Almog Cohen

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,153
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 6d 4h
No
polymarket

Amichai Chikli

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$977
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 6d 4h
No
polymarket

Person B

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 6d 4h
No
polymarket

Person C

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 6d 4h
No
polymarket

Person D

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 6d 4h
No
polymarket

Person E

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 6d 4h
No
polymarket

Person F

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 6d 4h
No
polymarket

Person G

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 6d 4h
No
polymarket

Person H

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 6d 4h
No
polymarket

Person I

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 6d 4h
No
Total markets: 25 of 43

Description

Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections. If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election". If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.

Polymarket

Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections. If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election". If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Likud Party primary race tracks real-time odds, price movements, and 24-hour volume of $33,748. It shows how traders on Polymarket are betting on who will win the primary, with charts illustrating recent trends and liquidity levels. This single-venue view updates continuously to reflect market sentiment as the race develops.

This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the election result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner is determined by official vote tallies, and the market settles accordingly. Timing depends on when final, authoritative results are announced, typically shortly after voting concludes.

Key events that could shift this market include major party endorsements, debate performance, scandals or gaffes by candidates, changes in polling trends, and financial developments affecting campaign resources. Media coverage and public reactions to these events often drive rapid changes in trading activity, as bettors reassess the likelihood of each candidate emerging victorious.