What will Larry Ellison's net worth be on Aug 31, 2026?

Currently, this market’s odds reflect a consensus among traders about the likely range of Larry Ellison’s net worth by the end of 2026. While analyst forecasts from major financial institutions may vary, the market price incorporates real-time betting data and can diverge from traditional equity research reports. Traders often see this market as a leading indicator of shifting perceptions, especially when new disclosures or market conditions arise.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers post bids and asks for contract shares representing possible outcomes. The displayed probability reflects the best available bid-ask spread and recent trading activity. Liquidity can fluctuate, and the top outcome’s chance percentage is updated constantly based on market depth and trader positioning.

This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will compare the officially reported net worth figure for Larry Ellison against the market’s defined outcome categories, using widely accepted public sources to validate the result.

Several signals could shift this market before it settles. Major announcements from Oracle Corporation, including earnings reports, stock buybacks, or new leadership changes, may affect perceptions of Ellison’s wealth. Broader economic shifts, tech-sector volatility, or regulatory developments impacting large tech firms can also influence trader sentiment. Any public disclosure of asset valuations or estate planning updates would likely create noticeable price movement.