TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 1, 5:52 AM EST
Opinion
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Prediction market odds reflect real-money trader sentiment and often diverge meaningfully from consensus analyst views. While equity research teams publish valuation targets and growth projections, this market aggregates thousands of individual bets into a single probability estimate. Traders incorporate forward-looking signals—patent filings, executive changes, competitive threats—that may not yet appear in formal analyst reports. Comparing the two reveals where the crowd sees asymmetric risk or opportunity that traditional Wall Street consensus has missed or underweighted.
On Opinion, traders buy and sell shares that pay out based on which company ranks largest by market cap at resolution. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome is priced between 0 and 100 cents, with the sum of all outcomes equaling one dollar. Your profit or loss depends on the entry price you pay and whether your chosen company finishes atop the rankings. Liquidity and spreads vary by outcome popularity, so monitoring order-book depth helps you execute efficiently on less-traded positions.
This market resolves around Jun 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning company will be determined by market capitalization standings at that date. Traders should monitor earnings calendars, merger announcements, and macroeconomic shifts in the months leading up to resolution, as these catalysts can dramatically reshape the competitive landscape and shift probabilities across all outcomes.
Major corporate acquisitions, leadership transitions, and breakthrough product launches can rapidly shift this market's odds. Quarterly earnings surprises that beat or miss expectations often trigger sharp repricing. Regulatory actions—antitrust investigations, tax policy changes, or sector-specific legislation—may disproportionately affect certain contenders. Macroeconomic shocks, interest-rate moves, and currency fluctuations also reshape relative valuations. Tracking insider trading, analyst upgrades or downgrades, and capital allocation announcements helps you stay ahead of sentiment shifts before they're fully priced in.