TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
KPOW Midterms on Nov 3, 2026 at 12:00 AM EST?
Description
These markets track the performance of Democratic candidates in the 2026 U.S. midterm elections through an index that aggregates outcomes across key races. The resolution depends on whether the index meets specific thresholds indicating varying levels of Democratic success, measured at a precise moment after the elections conclude.
Kalshi
All markets resolve based on the 15-minute time-weighted average of the Kalshi American Power Index - Midterms (KPOW Midterms) ending at 12:00 AM EST on November 3, 2026, calculated and published by Pyth using their specified methodology. Each market has a different threshold: markets resolve to Yes if the average meets or exceeds the respective negative value (e.g., -26.0, -24.0, etc.), reflecting varying degrees of Democratic electoral performance. Only trades executed at or before 12:00 AM EST contribute to the average, and price moves are counted once accepted by the index. Single index values, 30-second updates, charts, and third-party recalculations are excluded from consideration. If any constituent market stops trading, is determined, or settles before the index calculation, it retains its last accepted price, meaning race calls or certifications alone do not affect the index value.
