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$1,440,096,988
406,065
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61%
Closed: Sep 24, 3:28 AM EST
Polymarket
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Kirov Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Kirov Oblast as a result of this election. The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Kirov Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Kirov Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Kirov Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Kirov Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Kirov Oblast as a result of this election. The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Kirov Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Kirov Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Kirov Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers post bids and asks for each possible outcome. The displayed percentage chance represents the inverse of the highest bid price for that outcome. Trading volume of $14,051 helps determine liquidity and can affect how quickly prices adjust to new political developments or polling data.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the election results are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final seat distribution among parties in the Kirov Oblast Parliament will set the market’s settled value, based on official and widely accepted sources. No further interpretation beyond the published results is needed for resolution.
Key events such as regional polling updates, debates among party leaders, shifts in campaign funding, or major political announcements can move this market. Any development that changes perceptions of each party’s electability may cause traders to adjust odds. Unexpected turnout dynamics or controversy surrounding candidates could also create rapid price swings as market participants reassess probabilities.