TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Politics
Khamenei # posts September 4 - September 11, 2026?
polymarket

Khamenei # posts September 4 - September 11, 2026?

Volume:
$20,220

<5

 - Polymarket

<5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 11, 2026

Closed: Sep 11, 2:02 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

<5

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,828
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

10-14

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,244
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

5-9

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,948
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

15-19

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,359
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30-34

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,437
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25-29

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,186
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20-24

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$921
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

35-39

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$448
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

60+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$394
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

50-54

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$392
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

45-49

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$380
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40-44

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$344
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

55-59

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$339
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, this dashboard shows the current odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $7,224 for the Khamenei post count market. It allows you to monitor how traders are pricing the likelihood of a specific number of posts made by Khamenei over the week, offering a real-time view of market sentiment and activity on Polymarket.

Unlike traditional polling averages, which gather public opinion through surveys, this market reflects the aggregated bets of traders who may have access to a wider range of information, including news cycles, social media trends, and insider analysis. As a result, the odds in this market can diverge from polling averages, especially when new developments arise that shift trader sentiment.

This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final count of posts made by Khamenei during the specified period will determine which side of the market is settled, based on publicly available records.

Key signals that could shift this market include major political announcements, changes in Khamenei’s public schedule, significant global events affecting his speaking engagements, or unexpected health-related cancellations. Any development that impacts the expected number of public appearances or posts over the week could cause rapid price movements as traders adjust their positions.