TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 2:02 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Unlike traditional polling averages, which gather public opinion through surveys, this market reflects the aggregated bets of traders who may have access to a wider range of information, including news cycles, social media trends, and insider analysis. As a result, the odds in this market can diverge from polling averages, especially when new developments arise that shift trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final count of posts made by Khamenei during the specified period will determine which side of the market is settled, based on publicly available records.
Key signals that could shift this market include major political announcements, changes in Khamenei’s public schedule, significant global events affecting his speaking engagements, or unexpected health-related cancellations. Any development that impacts the expected number of public appearances or posts over the week could cause rapid price movements as traders adjust their positions.