TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Politics
Khamenei # posts July 31 - August 7, 2026?
polymarket

Khamenei # posts July 31 - August 7, 2026?

Volume:
$22,902

5-9

 - Polymarket

5-9 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 7, 2026

Closed: Aug 7, 2:57 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

5-9

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,399
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

<5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,017
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

10-14

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,711
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

15-19

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,567
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25-29

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,278
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30-34

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,183
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20-24

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$722
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

35-39

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$370
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40-44

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$354
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

55-59

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$345
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

50-54

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$329
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

60+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$318
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

45-49

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$311
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, this dashboard tracks the real-time odds and price history for the Khamenei posting count market, showing how traders price the likelihood of different posting volumes over the specified period. You can also see the 24-hour volume of $3,549 to gauge recent trading interest. The display updates continuously to reflect the latest market sentiment on Polymarket.

This market resolves around Aug 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The final count of posts made by Khamenei during the exact period will settle the market, and traders will see their positions resolved based on which range best matches the official tally.

News about Khamenei's scheduled appearances, health updates, or political developments could shift this market as they arise. Any indication of increased or reduced activity — such as planned speeches, ceremonial duties, or unexpected pauses — may cause traders to adjust their positions. Additionally, broader geopolitical tensions or changes in media access could also influence expectations and move the odds before Aug 7, 2026.