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Khamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?
polymarket

Khamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?

Volume:
$29,172

<5

 - Polymarket

<5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 11, 2026

Closed: Aug 11, 2:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

<5

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,442
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

5-9

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,637
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

10-14

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,690
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

15-19

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,010
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30-34

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,500
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20-24

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,494
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25-29

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,277
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

60+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$582
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

50-54

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$582
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

55-59

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$543
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40-44

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$508
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

35-39

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$473
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

45-49

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$434
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard tracks real-time odds and price history for the Khamenei posting frequency market, showing how traders view the likelihood of a specific posting count over the defined period. It also displays current volume of $29,111 and 24-hour volume of $3,067, giving you a live snapshot of market activity and sentiment around this political event.

Unlike traditional polling averages that rely on voter self-reporting, this market uses continuous trader betting to reflect expectations about Khamenei's posting behavior. The current implied probability on Polymarket can diverge significantly from polling averages, as market participants incorporate real-time news, historical patterns, and strategic insights that polls may miss, often leading to more nuanced or leading indicators.

This market resolves around Aug 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the posting count is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact determination depends on publicly available records over the specified date range, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process aligned with observable events.

Key signals include official announcements from Khamenei’s office, major political developments affecting his schedule, significant global or regional events that might influence his communication strategy, and any unexpected health or security situations. News coverage, social media trends, and statements from close advisors could also shift trader sentiment and move this market as the Aug 11, 2026 deadline approaches.